EVERYTHING SEEMS TO COME IN
THREES
There is little to be gained by having an 80% strike rate at a $5.00 average dividend, if there is an average of 2 bets per year.
I believe the secret to success lies in one of the other two alternatives - using Form Analysis Techniques to develop your own unique successful system, then, being your own unique and personal system, you are the only one on that particular bandwagon, and so the average dividend tends to stay the same and the profits continue. However, another factor is inevitable ‘change’. Circumstances do not remain static, training methods change, breeding changes, tracks change, etc etc, you must monitor change, how to identify favorable and unfavorable trends and how to turn natural evolution to your own advantage.
I am now, therefore, considering writing a book to take you, the would-be
Professional Punter, step by step through the process of building your
own successful system, using as an illustration a system that has enjoyed
35%+ strike rate with $3.00+ average dividends for a number of years. But
this is not all! a good system also needs:
I have found that statistical analysis of horse racing databases can
be a very practical and rewarding
way to come up with your own unique and profitable systems.
I find that for me the best way to do this is to analyse all manner
of possible 'profitable profiles' and
run them through the database and analysis tools of your choice, until
you come
up with a 'raw statistic or combination that can just about 'break
even' and then selectively
try to improve this performance with apparently appropriate 'filters'.
To illustrate this technique:
I ran 25% Win strike min 5 starts same class as last start
through my database of the last 2 years of Sydney Melbourne Adelaide
Brisbane
Saturday stats and as I more or less expected got the following
average quals 3.5 per race ( a huge and unwieldly volume) 13% win strike
35 %
place strike 17% loss on turnover win 10% loss on turnover place
This certainly needs "filtering" although I usually find that anything
that
shows more than 10% Loss on turnover "raw" does not usually improve
all that much
with filters and you should probably throw this one out and start again
Using the magic nines - see next paragraph - with this "system"
does improve it to
0.7 bets per race - a bit more sensible- win strike 19% place strike
47% but
still with loss on turnover win 14% and place 6%
as I said pretty irretrievable - forget it
See the difference with a 'meaningful' base take the f and g subsections
of my
systems
List the top 2 win strike horses in race, top two distance win strike
and top 2
average earnings
horse must be in all three lists
This rather simple base on my two year database shows promise:
win strike 23% place strike 55% loss on turnover win 10% loss
on turnover place
6%
If you filter this with the nines horses filters you improve to:
.08 bets per race that is about one bet per 12 races
win strike 31% (better than favorites) place strike 63%
Loss on turnover win 5% breakeven on place.
for my systems this was modified to:
(f) Mark the Top 2:(Including equal 2nd)
Win % - Earnings - Dist Win %
(i) If the same horse tops all three lists it is a selection.
Except if there are two horses in all three lists ignore race.
(ii) If there is only one horse in all three lists (Top 2) then this
is a
selection if:
It Tops 2 Lists. - or
If it Tops one list and is a Double Nines Horse. - or
Tops one list and is listed in Sportsman as
"Likes to lead" or "Races Handy".
(g) If No (f) qualifiers and a horse can total 8 points
on the following basis - it is a selection.
Nines horse - 1 point.
Double Nines Horse - 2 points.
Plus 1 point for each consecutive win.
i.e. last start winner 1 point.
Won last two 2 points, won last three 3 points.
Plus 3 points for each 'f' List that is top of,
only 2 points if equal top.
Plus 1 point for second or equal second on 'f' list.
and not betting if the other 7 sub sections produce a different selection
Now from the same data-base f plus g gives you average of .15 bets per
race
a little more than 1 per 8 race program
27% win strike 65% place strike and PROFIT ON TURNOVER Win 28% place
17%
the average win div is $4.66 av place div is $1.80
but if you add to this "value" betting where we categorise the
selections into category 1 2 and 3 bets and
only bet cat 1 if 1/1 or better cat 2 if 2/1 or better and cat 3 if
3/1 or better
The win and place srike rates suprisingly improve marginally to 30%
and 68%
but the dividends improve markedly to $6.60 and $2.17
giving Profit On Turnover win 98% and place 47%
and this is over a two year period
Some of the thoughts that guided me to where I am now at:
It is common knowledge that 80% of races are won by one of the first
three in the betting.
The first three in the betting are determined by weight of money.
The smart money is being guided more and more by computer analysis.
Therefore is it not so that computer analysis is working.
Also is it not so that the majority of computer analysis comes up
with very similar answers.
I do not believe that large data bases are the answer - more on
that elsewhere.
Therefore it must be the depth of analysis that is leading to the
success.
I as an individual do not have the time or resources to compete
with the depth of computer analysis available to those that specialise
in same.
My analysis of WIZARD results suggests to me that it is as good
as it gets, and it is VERY economical.
Since the overall weight of money from many different computer analyses
bases is successful, then combining multiple succesful analyses should
lead to better results than the individual analyses.
Some individual analyses that I have found successful:
Form patterns:
Continued improvement over last four starts - best measured in beaten
lengths but finishing positions quite effective - do not worry about weight,
as continued improvement will lead to comparative weight increase, and
if improvement continues despite comparative weight increase then this
should continue to be so.
So take the last four starts finishing position of all horses that
were placed last start and look for improved or equal finishing position
each start, examples of form patterns that qualify from a days racing in
front of me to illustrate:
1x11x1 yes ignore spells - but if first up after spell only qualifies
if 30%+ strike rate overall first up, or first or second last time first
up.
11 yes if less than four career starts then pattern for career
qualifies.
800411 yes pattern for last four starts qualifies.
16522 yes placed last start and last four runs pattern
qualifies
60x441 yes last four runs qualify
55333 not as impressive as most but a qualifier nevertheless.
referred to below as "A" horse.
WIZARD ratings any horse that scores 18 in the panel that is
tops all 6 ratings.
referred to below as "B" horse.
Any horse that tops both weight and time ratings and has the shortest
assessed odds.
referred to below as WOT horse.
Any horse that tops both the form polls - that is best recent form
and best 12 months form.
referred to below as "F" horse.
Mark the top three Place strike % and the top three av earnings in
race:
Any horse that tops both Polls. referred to below as "D" horse.
Any horse that is in top three of both polls when there is only one
such horse.
referred to below as "O" horse
I think I am on the right track, or for yatchies the right tack - but will be interested on any feed back.
Now let me talk you through the program for Saturday 9th October - yes before the event :-
Caulfield Race 1.
No 1 Falvelon A B WOT F D
Everything except "O" - shared with no 6 . a 'SPECIAL"
Race 2.
No 5 Transfer WOT F
No 7 Trestes Tracy Ann A and tops place %
For me no bet
Race 3 .
No 3 Second Coming A WOT F and top prize money - yes a bet for sure.
Nothing much happening in races 4 and 5
Race 6
No 1 Testa Rosa A B WOT F and top place % - a good bet
No 7 Commands A
Maybe 1/3/7 box quinella and trifecta
Race 7
Both 4 and 10 = A - no bet.
Race 8
No 1 Dignity Dancer O
No 7 Vetyvere A
No 11 Nina Haraka WOT
No 12 Go Flash Go F
I think I will box these four for trifecta and quinella.
Race 9
No 3 Chiming Lass A O D A great eachway bet if $5.00/$2.00. or better.
Canterbury
Race 1
No 1. Mastery WOT O D A good bet
Race 2
No 1 Catatonic WOT
No 3 Just Imagine A F no bet for me
Race 3 and 4 nothing much happening here.
Race 5
No 6 Niagara Kate A F O D A SPECIAL
Race 6
No 3 Raffler WOT and only last start winner - eachway if $5.00/$2.00. or better..
Race 7
No 11 Capitalism A - tops the prize money and won first up after short let up last time - eachway if $5.00/$2.00. or better.
Nothing in race 8.
Eagle Farm
Race 1
No 7 Silver Page O and only last start winner. eachway if $5.00/$2.00. or better.
Race 2 no form
Race 3
No 1 Neds Revenge WOT
No 5 Gasoline A no bet
for me
Race 4
No 10 Supermarket A last start winner good strike rate - eachway if $5.00/$2.00 or better.
Race 5
No 2 Snow Chariot WOT and last start winner.
No 3 Huge Year O tops prize money last stasrt winner and good first
up.
No 4 West Express F Maybe
box for quinella and trifecta
Race 6
No 3 Real Say A WOT does not like soft ground - not consistent and probably short price - not for me
Race 7
No 2 Danajiva A and last start winner.
No 9 Petty O tops place % and
last start winner. no bet for me
Race 8 no interest
Cheltenham
Race 1
No 1 Dancing Apollo F If $3.00 or better win.
Race 2
No 2 Spice Doll F If $3.00 or better for win.
Race 3
No 6 Follow The Maestro O Only horse in race with 50% place strike - probably best of a weak field but not for me.
Race 4
No 1 Willy What WOT another weak field with No 5 the only horse with 50% palce strike what is Saturday racing coming too in Adelaide ?? Not for me.
Race 5
No 1 Lake Villa F Yet another very weak race -
too unreliable for my money
No 7 Harley D
Race 6
No 1 Lazing About WOT O flash of form last start but most unreliable - Adelaide racing is becoming pathetic when the like of this is the top contender in a Saturday race not for me.
Race 7
No 5 Smytzers Rivalry WOT F Won last week and could win
again virtually by default
No 8 Umaline A no bet for me.
Race 8
No 3 Valiant Bid F D bet of the day in Adelaide.
The 'MAJIK' system was born in February 1999, at The 'WINFORM' racing seminar at beautiful Lake Macquarie.
Malclom Knowles -the MK in MAJIK - was guest speaker and drew my attention to Place %'s being more 'productive' than Win %'s, and emphasising the use of average dollar earnings in assessing class. He also mentioned the use of recent form analysis.
I put this together with my own ideas - the AJI in MAJIK- and so MAJIK was born.
The rules are simple, they can be applied with any good form guide, but it is particularly easy with Sportsman Chartform.
Mark off the highest three place %'s in the race, mark the "Clear Top" - not equal top - Place differently to the 2nd and 3rd.
Do not mark any below 50%.
Mark Equal Top as top three only not as "Top", and ignore "equals" if they make more than 3.
That is 3 equal tops are marked as in top three only not as "Top".
If clear Top and two equal seconds ok, but if clear Top and three equal seconds, rank only Top. If Clear Top clear second and more than one equal 3rd ignore the thirds.
I place a red square around the Clear Top rank and a circle around the next two. - no more than three all up.
Rule 2.
Do the same with the average prize money earned per start.
Do not mark any below $1,000.
Check the Clear Top % and see it it is one of the top three dollar Earners.
Check the Clear Top dollar Earner and see if it is included in the Top three Place % list.
If no 'co-inciders' no bet.
If both "tops" are co-inciders no bet.
Check single 'co-inciders' for recent form. (last 4 starts).
Qualifiers:
Any Last Start Winner.
Two wins in last four starts.
One Win and two placings in last 4 starts.
Four Placings in last 4 starts.
If only three starts in entire history - then One win and 2 placings or better qualifies.
If only two starts in entire history - then two placings or better qualifies.
If only one start in entire history - then placing qualifies.
If both the Top Dollar earner and Top Place % are co-inciders and qualify on form then no bet.
That is all there is to it.Get out your Form guide for March 27th:
Rosehill
Race 1. Top Place % 9 - only rest below 50%.
Top $ 2. others 1 3.
no coinciders.
Race 2 Place % 4 - 6 17
$ 3 - 1 4
Check form for no 4. --- 1 1 0 3 two wins in last 4 starts is bet.
Race 3 Place % 1 - 2 (4 5) reduce to max three elim 4,5.
$ 1 - 2 3
Check form no 1. --- 3 1 4 2 one win and 2 placings is bet.
Race 4 Place % 10 - 1 2
$ 1 - 7 2
Check form no 1 --- 1 1 1 1 last start winner is bet.
Race 5 Place % 9 - 5 2
$ 5 9 - 1
5 and 9 both qualify no bet.
Race 6 Place % 7 15 - 12
$ 2 - 7 17
check form no 7 --- 3 9 6 1 last start winner is bet.
Race 7 Place % 3 5 6 10 12 15 18 - 7 equal tops ignore race.
$ 2 - 15 5
Race 8 Place % 6 - 3 9
$ 1 - 2 5
no coincidersCaulfield.
Race 1 Place % 4 - 1 3
$ 3 - 1 5
check form 3 ---- 1 6 8 2 does not qualify
Race 2 Place % 2 3 9
$ 9 - 1 2
check form 9 --- 2. one start placed qualifies.
Race 3 Place % 5 - 4 3
$ 1 - 3 2
no coinciders
Race 4 Place % 4 - 1 7
$ 3 - 1 5
no coinciders
Race 5 no place % of 50 or better no qualifers
Race 6 Place % 2 - 3 6
$ 2 - 5 8
check form no 2 --- 2 5 5 4 does not qualify
Race 7 Place % 10 - 1 6
$ 1 - 2 5
check form no 1 --- 3 2 5 1 one win 2 placings is bet.
Race 8 Place % 6 - 10 no others over 49%
$ 2 - 6 1
check form no 6 --- 5 3 7 3 does not qualify
Doomben
Race 1 Place % 10 - 9 1 12
$ 1 - 11 9
check form no 1 --- 1 3 4 0 does not qualify
Race 2 Place % 3 - 7 4
$ 1 - 3 2
check form no 3 --- 3 6 2 1 one win 2 places is bet
Race 3 Place % 2 - 4 12
$ 5 - 6 2
check form no 2 --- 2 1 2 3 one win 2 places is bet
Race 4 Place % 6 - 7 3
$ 6 - 9 16
check form no 6 -- 1 2 2 4 one win two places is bet.
Race 5 Place % 6 - 3 11
$ 3 - 1 2
check form no 3 --- 4 5 0 5 no bet.
Race 6 Place % 1 - 6 12
$ 1 - 6 9
check form no 1 --- 0 8 6 5 no bet.
Race 7 Place % 3 4 6 13 16 - 5 equal ignore race.
$ 3 - 2 4Race 8 Place % 5 - 3 7
$ 5 - 1 4
check form no 5 --- 0 2 1 1 last start winner is bet.
Race 9 Place % 14 - 5 12
$ 3 - 1 7
no coinciders
Cheltenham
Race 1 Place % 1 6 8 16 - 4 equal tops ignore race.
Race 2 Place % 12 only above 49%
$ 1 - 12 2
check form no 12 last start winner is bet.
Race 3 Place % 7 - 5 6
$ 8 - 1 2
no coinciders
Race 4 Place % 3 - 8 12
$ 2 - 5 8
no coinciders
Race 5 Place % 6 - 3 8
$ 6 - 9 2
check form no 6 --- 5 1 1 1 last start winner is bet
Race 6 Place % 11 - 5 3 6
$ 1 - 4 3
no coinciders
Race 7 Place % 4 - 2 1 5
$ 7 - 4 2
check form no 4 --- 1 4 0 0 no bet
Race 8 Place % 3 - 6 2
$ 3 - 1 2
check form no 3 --- 0 3 0 0 no bet
Todays bets:
TRACK RACE S/CLOTH RESULT WIN-DIV PLC-DIV Caulf. 2 9 2nd $ 1.90 RHill 2 4 Unpl DBen 2 3 Unpl Chelt 2 12 Unpl RHill 3 1 2nd $ 1.20 DBen 3 2 Unpl RHill 4 1 Won $ 3.50 $ 2.00 Chelt 5 6 Won $ 1.40 $ 1.04 RHill 6 7 3rd $ 2.10 Caulf 7 1 3rd $ 1.80 DBen 8 5 Won $ 6.70 $ 2.70 Outlay $11 $11.60 $12.74 Admittedly both the win and place profits are minimal, but they exist, and this is where good staking plans make all the difference.
I have now, another project underway and as part of same I am introducing some people to a few "Simple Systems" based on various statistics that I have found useful over the years.
Most of the "Simple Systems" are based on "Nines" horses.
"Nines" horses are single nines and double nines.
A single 9 is a horse whose finishing position in it's last three starts
- ignoring spells -
add to 9 or less. (If less than 3 career starts average 3 or less per
start).
A single 9 becomes a double nine when it draws a barrier of 9 or less
- and in the
case of a handicap race carry the same or MORE weight than the No 9
saddlecloth.
The Nines systems are:
1st August and time for annual assessment and
"update" or "fine tuning " of systems.
Below the red text indicates the latest changes,
where
appropriate "old" data shown in blue.
(a) Back any Nines Horse rated 300
(200)
or more that is rated more than 200
(100)
higher than the next best rated..
[ To Rate the Nines Horses simply add 100
points for "nine horse"(last three starts) plus 50 for barrier 1-9 Plus
50 for above or equal weight to no 9 saddlecloth + 50 for each consecutive
last start win* + career Win %
+ $000's of Av Earnings(limit 100) + Dist Win %
+ Spotsman Zip rating. If top rated does not qualify as Nines horse
on last 3 starts it is not qualified.
(* 50 for last start winner - 100 if won last two - 150 if won last
three)
(b) Back the Favorite when it is
a Double Nines Horse and last start winner.
(d) Back Double Nines horse if it
is the only last start winner in the race.
(e) Back "Nines"
horses who are saddlecloth 1 or 2 or equal weight to No 2.
Who have finished 1st or 2nd at
last two starts i.e. 1 1 - 2 2 - 1 2 - 2 1.
and who are First or Second Favorite.
If two horses qualify - Ignore
race completely - that is do not bet
(eii) If no qualifier in (e) then
Back "Nines"
horse whose saddlecloth is 1 2 or 3
or equal weight to No 3 whose last
three starts have all been 1 2 or 3
and who is First Second or Third
Favorite - again if more than one qualifier ignore race.
(f) Mark the Top 2:(Including equal
2nd)
Zip Rating - Win % - Earnings - Dist
Win %
(i) If the same horse tops all four
(three)
lists and is a "Nines" horse
it is a selection.
Except if there are two horses in all four (three) lists that are "Nines" horses then ignore race.
(ii) If there is only one horse
in all four (three)
lists (Top 2) then this is a selection if:
It is a "Nines" horse.
It Tops 2 Lists. - or
If it Tops one list and is a Double
Nines Horse. - or
Tops one list and is listed in
Sportsman as
"Likes to lead" or "Races Handy".
(g) If No (f) qualifiers and a horse
can total 8 points
on the following basis -
it is a selection.
Nines horse - 1 point.
Double Nines Horse - 2 points.
Plus 1 point for each consecutive
win.
i.e. last start winner 1 point.
Won last two 2 points, won last
three 3 points.
Plus 3 points for each 'f' List
that is top of,
only 2 points if equal top.
Plus 1 point for second or equal
second on 'f' list.
(h) If there is only one horse
in the race
that the Sportsman lists as being
both
"Down in Class"
and "Likes to Lead" or "Races Handy"
AND this horse is also, either:
(i) A Double Nines Horse,
(ii)
Is a Nines horse and is in at least two of
the three system F Lists,
(iii) Is
a Nines Horse and Tops any system F List.
(i) Consider only
"Nines" horses shown in Sportsman's
Chartfrom as "Likes to Lead"
or "Races on Pace".
If only one of first and second
in betting listed it is selection.
If no selection consider third
and fourth in betting
if qualified as above AND is either
listed as
"Down in Class" or is "Double Nines"
horse.
If more than one horse qualifies in all of the
above simple systems ignore
race, it is suggested that if the same horse is chosen by three or
more of
the above systems it becomes a 'Special' and one should increase bet.
When track conditions are "Dead" "Slow" or "Heavy" any selection
is eliminated if it does not have a win
strike for the current track conditions at least equal to it's overall
win strike%.
If the selection has no starts under current track conditions, it's
win strike at the next worse track condition level
must be at least equal to it's overall win strike %.
See a summary of the latest performance of these ideas in the latest
Newsletter.
Where they are combined with the Pentstep Win Staking Plan and the
50/50
Place Staking System these Staking Plans are explained on the
Staking page.
(j) If selections of certain tipping service are Top rated as per (a) above they are a bet. - Since this relies on information that people pay for I am not a liberty to disclose details but will list selections each week prior to races.
(k) As with (j) using different service.
(l) Any state headline horse in Chartform that is top rated.
(m) Any Sportsman Hot Shots (page 4 Sportsman) that is top rated.
To explain this all in detail get yourself a copy of the Sportsman for
Friday 13th February and I will explain the 14th February table below in
detail, I have chosen Melbourne and Brisbane because that is where the
majority of the action was, this may look complicated but it took me just
85 minutes for the 32 races in Sydney Melbourne Brisbane Adelaide.
I think that even beginners should need no more than 5 minutes per
race on average..:
Please note this has been amended there was previousl;y
a 'bug' in the ratings dividing the $ Prizemoney by 100 instead of 1000
thanks to an interested reader for pointing this out.
Melbourne:
Race 1.
Method 'a' toprated Star binder 195** less
than 200 No qualifier.
'b' Neither favorite Zuccherino or 2nd Fav Hes
Regal is nines horse - no qualifier
'c' no last start winners within 9 days
'd' Star Binder ( red indicates qualifier)only
last start winner and is double nines horse -
'e' Form pattern of none of 1/2/3 fits no qualifier
'f' Zuccherino Tops two lists and is not
only one in all three lists.
'g' Zuccherino Down
in Class Races Handy Tops two lists
More than one qualifier do not bet.
** Star Binder = Double nines 100 last start winner
50 Win % 33 $ 12 Dist 0 = 195
Race 2.
Method 'a' toprated Dansino 399** Compulsion 300***
next, not more than 100 No qualifier.
'b' favorite
Compulsion is double nines horse and
last start winner.
'c' Follow Gold is last start winner within
9 days and double nines horse.
'd' More than one last start winner - no qualifier.
'e' Compulsion
under e ii.
'f' Dansino in all three
lists tops two and is double nines horse..
'g' No "Down in class " .
Three qualifiers No Bet.
** Dansino = Double nine 100 last start winner 50 Win % 100 $$
49 Dist 100 = 399
*** Compulsion = Double nine 100 last start winner 50 Win % 100
$$ 50 Dist 0 = 300
Race 3.
Method 'a' toprated Classic Day 124 less than
200 No qualifier.
'b' favorite
Classic
Day is not last start winner.
'c' No last start winner within 9 days.
'd' Only last start winner - Virtual Reality is not nines horse.
'e' No Qualifiers.
'f' Blazing Reality Tops all three lists.
'g' Kiora Star "Down in class " "Likes to lead" but neither F List
or Nines horse.
Blazing Reality Qualifies with only one system
and no bonuses weighting is 1
Therefore "C" Category need 3/1 4/1 available
so qualifies.
Race 4.
Method 'a' toprated Shovhog 385 Next Special Edition
307 - No qualifier.
'b' Shovhog
favorite double
nines
horse and last start winner.
'c' No last start winner within 9 days.
'd' More than one last start winner.
'e' 1/2/3
all qualify therefore noone qualifies..
'f' Shovhog Tops two lists and only
one in all three lists..
'g' Prowl "Down in class " "Races Handy" but neither F List or
Nines horse.
Shovhog Qualifies with two systems and no bonuses
weighting is 2
Therefore "C" Category need 3/1 Price not available
- No Bet.
Race 5.
Method 'a' toprated Voodoo Beat 84 < 200 -
No qualifier.
'b' Sovereign Squall / Portland patch not
nines
horse or last start winners..
'c' No last start winner within 9 days.
'd' More than one last start winner.
'e' Sovereign
Squall..last two 2 2 No 1 and Favorite.
'f' No one in all three lists..
g' Voodoo Beat "Down in class " but not Leader or
handy.
Sovereign Squall Qualifies with one system and
no bonuses weighting is 1
Therefore "C" Category need 3/1 S.P. 13/4.
Race 6.
Method 'a' toprated Al
Mansour 334 Next Stella Cadente 227.
'b' Al Mansour/Might and Power neither
last start winners..
'c' No last start winner within 9 days.
'd' More than one last start winner.
'e' Might
and Power..last two 1 1 No 3 and 2nd
Favorite.
'f' No one in all three lists..
g' No "Down in class "
Two Qualifiers No Bet.
.
Race 7.
Method 'a' toprated Discretion
199 <200 no selection.
'b' Discretion.Favorite
double nines horse and last start winner..
'c' No last start winner within 9 days.
'd' More than one last start winner.
'e' No qualifiers.
'f' No one in all three lists..
g' No "Down in class "
Discretion one system qualifier C Category 3/1 not available No Bet..
Race 8.
Method 'a' toprated Blue
Storm 459 next Ossie Cossie 75.
'b' Blue Storm.Favorite
double nines horse and last start winner..
'c' No last start winner within 9 days.
'd' More than one last start winner.
'e' Blue
Storm 1 1 No 2 Favorite.
'f' Blue Storm Tops all three lists..
g' Ossie Cossie not nines horse only one list and not top.
Blue Storm four system qualifier plus 1 bonus
point
weighting 5 B Category 2/1 required not available
No Bet.
Brisbane:
Race 1.
Method 'a' toprated Pegaso 361 next Curio Jade
354..
'b' Neither Scientist or Shes Pretty last
start winner..
'c' No last start winner nines horse within 9 days.
'd' More than one last start winner.
'e' No Qualifier.
'f' No qualifier..
g' No "Down in Class".
No Qualifier.
Race 2.
Method 'a' all ratings <200..
'b' Neither Top Two last start winner..
'c' No last start winner nines horse within 9 days.
'd' Ruling Chariot not nines horse..
'e' No Qualifier.
'f' No qualifier..
g' No "Down in Class".
No qualifier.
Race 3.
Method 'a' Top rated Our Golden yeats 180 <200
no selection..
'b' Favorite Brigadier Forever not last start
winner
Our Golden Yeats 2nd
Favorite double nines horse and last start winner..
'c' No last start winner nines horse within 9 days.
'd' More than one last start winner.
'e' No Qualifier.
'f' No qualifier..
g' Brigadier Forever not front runner.
Our Golden Yeats one system qualifier no
bonuses weighting 1
C Category required 3/1 SP 4/1.
Race 4.
Method 'a' Top rated Raval
291 next Wonder Road 143.
'b'
Raval Favorite double nines horse and last
start winner..
'c' No last start winner nines horse within 9 days.
'd' More than one last start winner.
'e' No Qualifier.
'f' Wonder Road
Tops
all three lists..
g' No Down in Class.
Two Qualifiers No Bet..
Race 5.
Method 'a' Top rated Zahara
Zed 360 next Tenuous 187...
'b'
Zahara Zed Favorite double nines horse and
last start winner..
'c' No last start winner nines horse within 9 days.
'd' More than one last start winner.
'e' Zahara
Zed 1 1 No 2 Favorite..
'f' Zahara Zed
Tops
all three lists..
g' No qualifiers.
Zahara Zed 4 systems plus 2 bonus points weighting
6 Category A
Required odds 1/1 Available...
Race 6.
Method 'a' Top rated Gold
Hood 379 next Sahara Andy 51..
'b'
Gold Hood Favorite double nines horse and
last start winner..
'c' Gold Hood last start winner
doubnle nines horse within 9 days.
'd' More than one last start winner.
'e' Gold
Hood 1 1 1 No 3 Favorite..
'f' No qualifier..
g' No qualifier.
Gold Hood 4 systems plus 4 bonus points weighting
8** Special Category A
Required odds 1/1 Available...
Race 7.
Method 'a' Top rated Intent Wonder
240 next Man From Uncle 197...
'b'
Intent Wonder Favorite double nines horse
and last start winner..
'c' No last start winner nines horse within
9 days.
'd' More than one last start winner.
'e' No qualifier..
'f' No qualifier..
g' Man From Uncle Down in Class
Likes to Lead Nines horse last start winner.
Two qualifiers No Bet.
Race 8.
Method 'a' Top rated <200..
'b' 1/2
Favorites not nines horse and last start winner..
'c' No last start winner nines horse within
9 days.
'd' Dont Rush not nines horse.
'e' No qualifier..
'f' No qualifier..
g' Firm Friends not a leader..
No qualifier.
14th February - Saturday
Qualified
Systems
|
Weighting | Category | Result | Win Div | Plc Div | |
M 3/1 | f, | 1 | C | 2nd | $1.80 | |
M 4/3 | a,e | 2 | C | 2nd | $1.04 | |
A 3/16 | f | 1 | C | Won | $5.40 | $2.30 |
B 3/6 | b, | 1 | C | 2nd | $1.60 | |
A 4/2 | a,b, | 2 | C | Unp | ||
M 5/1 | e | 1 | C | Won | $3.70 | $1.70 |
S 5/6 | b | 3 | C | Won | $2.50 | $1.40 |
B 5/2 | a,b,e,f | 6 | A | 2nd | $1.70 | |
A 5/2 | b, | 1 | C | 3rd | $1.50 | |
S 6/2 | b | 3 | C | Unp | ||
B 6/3 | a,b,c,e | 8 | A | Won | $3.60 | $1.70 |
M 7/3 | a,b | 2 | C | 2nd | $1.50 | |
S 7/7 | a,b,f | 4 | B | Unp | ||
M 8/2 | a,b,e,f | 5 | B | 2nd | $1.40 | |
28% | 14 Selns | 4 Wins | 11 Plcd | 78% | $15.20
+10%
|
$17.64
+26% |
50% | 6 Selns | 3 Wins | 6 Plcd | 100% | $12.70
+112% |
$10.80
+80% |
A -SELNS | 2 | 1 | 2 | $3.60 | $3.40 | |
A - VALUE | 2 | 1 | 2 | $3.60 | $3.40 | |
B - SELNS | 2 | 0 | 1 | $1.40 | ||
B - VALUE | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
C - SELNS | 10 | 3 | 8 | $11.60 | $12.84 | |
C - VALUE | 4 | 2 | 4 | $9.10 | $7.40 |
2 A's into 2 B 's 1 unit win doubles 4 units no return + 5.6 units
11 unit Place parlay 2 As and 2 Bs returned 3 doubles one treble 11.2 + 5.8 units
2 units Win each of M 3/1 A 3/16 B 3/6 M 5/1 returned 14.5 + 12.3 units
b / fwd invested 371 Profit 301.4 POT 81%
today invested 35 Profit
12.3
c/fwd invested 406 Profit 313.7 POT 77%
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Last modified: 26/4/99.