14th April
AB method
Balance b/fwd 1050.9 units
Oakbank race 2 no 2 Mr Selby "A" 32 units
Brisbane Race 4 no 1 Fetes Galantes
Money Down Method
Balance b/fwd 1,366.5 units
Oakbank race 2 no 2 Mr Selby "A" 50 units
Brisbane Race 4 no 1 Fetes Galantes "C" (if Mr Selby wins 45 units
if Mr selby loses 55 units)
7th April
AB method
Balance b/fwd 1014.9 units
Brisbane race 1 no 1 Gladiators "A" 30 units return 87
prog bank 1071.9 units
Melbourne Race 4 no1 Western Outlaw "B" 21 units 0 return prog bank
1050.9 units
Adelaide race 5 no 1 Lezayre "B" 21 units return 0 prog bank
1029.9 units
Money Down Method
Balance b/fwd 1,451.5 units
Brisbane Race 3 no 2 Yukmarr 40 units 0 return prog bank 1411.5
units
Cheltenham Race 5 no 1 Lezayre 45 units return 0 prog bank 1366.5
units
31st march
AB method
Balance b/fwd 1036.6 units
Adelaide race 1 no 1 Sound. 31 units return 40.3 units prog bank 1045.9
units
Brisbane race 6 no 1 The London Banker 31 units return 0 prog
bank 1014.9 units
Money Down Method (start bank 1000 units bet 5% prog bank)
Balance b/fwd 1,287.5 units
Morphetville Race 1 no 1 Sound 40 units return 52 units prog
bank 1,299.5 units
Morphetville Race 3 no 1 Prince Raja 35 units return 252 units
prog bank 1,516.5 units
Eagle Farm RAce 6 no 1 The London Banker 30 units return 0 prog
bank 1,486.5 units
Morphetville Race 8 no 4 Spice Doll. 35 units return 0 prog bank
1,451.5 units
Were you with us Geoff G. ??
Rugby League best bets: Parramatta - Roosters.
24th March
AB method
Balance b/fwd 1058.6 units
Sydney race 4 no 1 A 2% only bet double to 4% 22 units 0 return prog
bank 1036.6 units
Loss for day 22 units Prog Bank 1036.6 units - target to double
bank in one year
1164 units.
Money Down Method (start bank 1000 units)
Balance b/fwd 1,362.5 units
RsHill race 4 no 1 A Unp 35 units return 0 balance 1,327.5
units
Dmbn race 7 no 1 C 3rd 40 units return 0 balance
1,287.5 units
And for the League fans winners this week:
Best Bets marked **
Dragons
Brisbane
Sharks **
Tigers **
Parramatta
Bulldogs
Newcastle
17th March
Balance B/fwd 1070.7
Flemington race 1 no 1 Titanic Rose B 1% 11 units return 0 prog
bank 1059.7
Canterbury race 3 no 1 Excellarator - Money back no bet
Mooney valley Race 2 no 1 Malfunction B 1% 11 units return 0 prog bank
1048.7
Mooney Valley race 4 no 3 Forest Jim A 2% 21 units return 39.9 prog
bank 1058.6
Loss for day 12.1 units Prog Bank 1058.6 units - target to double
bank in one year
1152 units.
Money Down Method (start bank 1000 units )
Balance b/fwd 1383.5 units
Flemtn Race 1 no 1 A 3rd 20 units return 0 balance 1363.5
units
Flemtn race 3 no 1 D 3rd 25 units return 0 balance
1338.5 units
Cntbry race 3 no 1 A 2nd money back no bet balance
1338.5 units
MnVly race 4 no 3 E Won 30 units return 54 units
balance 1,362.5 units
10th March
Balance b/fwd 1042.7
S 1/1 A 2%x2 4% 42 units 88.2 return
1072.9 units
A 3/4 A 1%x2 2% 22 units 30.8 return
1081.7 units
B 6/1 B 1%
11 units 0 return
1070.7 units
Profit for day 28 units Prog Bank 1070.7 units - Target to double
bank in one year 1139 units
Money Down Method (start bank 1000 units )
Balance b/fwd 1351.5 units
Rndwk Race 1no 1 A bet 20 units return 44 units prog bank 1,375.5
units
Mphvle race 3 no 4 A Won 20 units return 28 units prog
bank 1,383.5 units
3rd March
Balance b/fwd 1036.7
M 5/1 B 1% 10 units 0 return
1026.7 units
M 6/1 A 2%x2 4% 41 units 0 return 985.7
units
M 8/2 B 3% 30 units return 87 units
1042.7 units
Profit for day 6 units Prog Bank 1042.7 units - Target to double
bank in one year 1124 units
Money Down Method (Start bank 1,000 units )
Balance b/fwd 1304 units
Caulfield race 8 no 2 25 units return 72.5 units prog bank 1,351.5
units
Newsletter No.17: February, 2001.
24th February
Todays specials system
B 1/1 A 3% 30 units 0 return
982.7 units
S 5/1 A 3% 30 units return 54 units
1006.7 units
S 7/2 A 3% 30 units return 50 units
1036.7 units
Profit for day 24 units Prog Bank 1036.7 units - Target to double
bank in one year 1110 units
A dissappointing return 9 winners from 19 bets strike rate 47.4%
av div $2.20
Flat stake POT 4.3%
We have invested 565 units for a profit of 36.7 POT 6.5%
17th February
Todays specials system
One A bet so double usual bet bet 6% of 1076.7
Melb 7/1 64 units 0 return
1012.7
Loss for day 64 units Prog Bank 1012.7 units - Target to double
bank in one year 1095 units
10th February
Today Specials system:
Opening Balance 1097.9
four selections bet 2% if not favorite- 3%
if favorite
Melbourne 1/1 2% 22 units 0 return 1075.9
Sydney 2/2 3% Won 32 units return 76.8 1120.7
Brisbane 2/3 2% 22 units
1098.7
Brisbane 4/1 2% 22 units
1076.7
Loss for day 21.2 units Prog Bank 1076.7 units - Target to double
bank in one year 1081 units
3rd February
Today Specials system:
Opening Balance 1087.9
two selections bet 2% if not favorite- 3% if
favorite
Adelaide 1/1 - Not fav 2% 22 units Paid Up Loss for day
22 units prog bank 1065.9 units
Melbourne 6/1 - Fav 3% - 32 units Miss Kournikova return 64 units prog
bank 1097.9
Profit for day 10 units Prog Bank 1097.9 units - Target to double
bank in one year 1066 units
YTD Total bet 335 units return 432.9 units POT 29%
[YTD Flatstake Summary 11 bets 6 winners win strike rate 55%
av div $2.25 POT 24%]
Standard system
A/B Adel 1/1 Paid-up not fav 4 units return 0 loss for day 4
units
Melb 6/1 Miss Kournikova
fav 5 units return 10 units profit for day 1 unit
Bet 4 units if not favorite - 5 units if favorite - plus 1 unit for
each prior winner today.
C:
Syd 3/1
section C no favs no bets
Syd 6/1
Adel 7/3
Adel 8/1
Bet 3 units if favorite plus 1/2 unit for each prior winner today.
IF NOT FAVORITE NO BET.
D:
Syd 2/3
section D no favs no bets
Bet 2 units if favorite plus 1/2 unit for each prior winner today.
IF NOT FAVORITE NO BET.
E:
There are no E selections today.
Adel 1/1 Paid-up not fav 4 units return 0 loss for day 4 units
Melb 6/1 Miss Kournikova fav 5 units return 10 units
profit for day 1 unit
Profit for day 1 unit YTD profit 6.6 units Target to
double bank in 12 months 10 units.
YTD Total bet 120.5 units return 127.1 units POT 5%
YTD Flatstake summary 31 bets 13 winners winstrike rate 42% av
div $2.37 LOT 0.7%
Standard Plan
Syd 1/1 2 units win return 0 loss today 2 units
Adel 1/1 2 units win return 6.8 units profit today 2.8 units
Bris 1/1 2.5 units return 0 profit today 0.3 units
Syd 2/2 6 units return 7.2 units profit today 1.5 units
Adel 2/1 3 units return 10.5 units profit today 9 units
Melb 3/1 8 units return 0 profit for day 1 unit
Bris 6/1 3.5 units return 0 loss for day 2.5 units
Adel 7/4 7 units return 16.1 units profit for day 6.6 units
Profit for day 6.6 units YTD profit 5.6 units
YTD Total bet 111.5 units return 117.1 units POT 5%
YTD Flatstake summary 29 bets 12 winners winstrike rate 41% av
div $2.40 LOT 0.7%
Wizard Plan for January 20th
Best Bets Plan bank opening at 1035.2 units
As only one bet today bet 5%.
Sandown Race 3 no 2 Aberdeen Rose 52 units return 104 units Prog bank
1087.2 units.
Profit for day 52 units Prog Bank 1087.2 units - Target (1.25%pw
cum)to double bank in one year 1039 units
The standard plan
Sandown 1/1 3 Units return 6 units day profit 3 units
Sandown Race 3 No 2 5+1 units 6 units return 12 units day profit
9 units
Eagle Farm Race 6 No 1 3+1 4 units return 0 day profit
5 units
Profit for day 5 units YTD loss 1 unit
Wizard Plan for January 13th
Best Bets Plan opening at 993.2 units.
Rosehill Race 1 no 1 30 units London Eye return 126 units prog bank
1089.2
Caulfield race 2 no 1 Alaska Seas 33 units return 0 prog bank 1056.2
Gold Coast Race 7 no 13 Shovoff 21 units return 0 prog bank 1035.2
units
Profit for day 42 units Prog Bank 1035.2 units - Target (1.25%pw
cum)to double bank in one year 1025 units
The 20 Point Plan two A s 1 B 1 C 5 Ds
Gold Coast 1/1 2 Unit 0 return loss 2 unit
Roshehill 1/1 5 Units return 21 units profit today 14 units
Caulf 2/1 5 Units plus 1 for each winner to date 6 units profit for
day 8 units
Vic Pk 2/1 2 units plus 1/2 unit for each winner to date 2.5 units
profit for day 5.5 units
Caulf 3/1 2 units plus 1/2 unit for each winner to date 2.5 units profit
for day 3 units
Rosehill 4/1 2 units plus 1/2 unit each winner to date 2.5 units profit
for day 0.5 units
Caulf 5/7 2 unit plus 1/2 unit each winner to date 2.5 units loss for
day 2 units
Gold Coast 5/13 2 unit plus 1/2 unit each winner to date 2.5 units
loss for day 4.5 units
Gold Coast 7/13 4 units plus 1 unit for each winner to date 5 units
loss for day 9.5 units
Loss for day 9.5 units YTD loss 6 units
The Wizard Plans for January 6th:
So saturday 6th two "A" bets no "B" bets so start with 30 units.
Melb 2/1 bet 30 units no return .- progressive bank 970.
Syd 7/2 bet 29 units return 52.2 units- progressive bank 993.2 Loss
for the day 6.8 units
Syd 1/1 bet 2 units return 3.60 prof profit
1.6
Melb 2/1 bet 6 units return 0 prog loss 4.4
Bris 2/1 bet 2 1/2 units return 0 prog loss 6.9
Melb 4/1 bet 2 1/2 units return 5.5 prog loss 3.9
Syd 4/1 bet 3 units return 0 prog loss 6.9
Adel 6/6 bet 3 units return 7.8 prog loss 2.1
Syd 7/2 bet 8 units return 14.4 units profit 4.3
Melb 8/4 bet 4 units return 0 prog profit 0.3
Syd 8/2 bet 4 unit return 7.2 prog profit 3.5 profit 3.5 units.
Profit for day 3.5 units YTD profit 3.5 units
What an incredible half-year Invested 998 units for 719 unit profit
or 72% Profit on Turnover.
I had more than 95% of those bets and on a $100 unit basis am
more than $50,000 in front for the six months.
I have compared the overall (light colors) to the "betting to
prices" (dark colors).
Revising and fine tuning all the time is the way to extra accuracy
and better POT (Profit On Turnover).
In the "Diary" the Win/Place bets use the following strategy:
Category 1 selections bet 6 units Win if 1/1 or better available, 3
units eachway if 4/1 avaialble.
Category 2 selections bet 4 units Win if 2/1 or better available, 2
units eachway if 4/1 available.
Category 3 selections bet 2 units Win if 3/1 available, 1 unit eachway
if 4/1 avaiable.
For TAB Bettors 1/1 = $2.00 TAB ... 4/1 =$5.00 TAB.
With the Place Parlay Simulator start with bank 10 units and bet 60%
of Progressive
bank for Place until bank less than 2 units, at which point re-build
to 10 units,
or more than 110 units at which point revert to 10 units.
Refer to the Money Management page for how that works on a combination of all three strategies.
4th July - Saturday
Contenders
Qual Sub | Weight | Class | Price Avail | Bet? | |
Bris 1/1 | h, | 1 | 3 | yes | yes |
Adel 1/1 | f | 1 | 3 | no | no |
Bris 2/8 | b,i | 2 | 3 | yes | yes |
Melb 3/5 | i | 1 | 3 | yes | yes |
Syd 3/3 | i, | 1 | 3 | yes | yes |
Bris 3/3 | f | 1 | 3 | no | no |
Adel 4 | 2,8 | ||||
Syd 5 | 2,3,4 | ||||
Bris 4/2 | i | 1 | 3 | yes | yes |
Melb 5/2 | a,b,c,e,f,i | 8 | 1 | yes | yes |
Bris 5 | 1,7 | ||||
Adel 5 | 1,12 | ||||
Bris 6/3 | i | 2 | 3 | yes | yes |
Syd 7/2 | a,b,d,e | 7 | 1 | yes | yes |
Melb 8/2 | g | 1 | 3 | no | no |
Syd 8/7 | b.c.i | 3 | 2 | Yes | yes |
Adel 8/2 | a,b,e,f | 6 | 1 | yes | yes |
Seln ID | Cat. | Bet. | Result | WinDv | Pl Div | Bet | Return | Prf/Loss | ProgBk |
Bris 1/1 | 3 | 1x1 | Won | $5.90 | $1.60 | 2 | 7.5 | 5.5 | 5.5 |
Bris 2/8 | 3 | 1x1 | Unp | 0 | $0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 3.5 |
Melb 3/5 | 3 | 2win | Unp | 0 | $0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 1.5 |
Syd 3/3 | 3 | 1x1 | Unp | $0 | $0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -0.5 |
Bris 4/2 | 3 | 1x1 | 2nd | 0 | $2.40 | 2 | 2.4 | 0.4 | -0.1 |
Melb 5/2 | 1 | 6 Win | Unp | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -6 | -6.1 |
Bris 6/3 | 3 | 1x1 | 3rd | 0 | $2.20 | 2 | 2.2 | 0.2 | -5.9 |
Syd 7/2 | 1 | 6 Win | Won | $2.80 | $1.40 | 6 | 16.8 | 10.8 | 4.9 |
Syd 8/7 | 2 | 2x2 | Unp | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | 0.9 |
Adel 8/2 | 1 | 6 Win | Won | $3.40 | $1.50 | 6 | 20.4 | 14.4 | 15.3 |
Seln ID | Cat. | Bet. | Result | WinDv | Pl Div | Bet | Return | Prf/Loss | ProgBk |
10 | |||||||||
Bris 1/1 | 3 | 6 | Won | $5.90 | $1.60 | 6 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 13.6 |
Bris 2/8 | 3 | 8.1 | Unp | 0 | $0 | 8 | 0 | -8 | 5.6 |
Melb 3/5 | 3 | 3.4 | Unp | 0 | $0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | 2.6 |
Syd 3/3 | 3 | 1.6 | Unp | $0 | $0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0.6+10 |
Bris 4/2 | 3 | 6.4 | 2nd | 0 | $2.40 | 6 | 14.4 | 8.4 | 19 |
Melb 5/2 | 1 | 11.4 | Unp | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | -11 | 8 |
Bris 6/3 | 3 | 4.8 | 3rd | 0 | $2.20 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 14 |
Syd 7/2 | 1 | 8.4 | Won | $2.80 | $1.40 | 8 | 11.2 | 3.2 | 17.2 |
Syd 8/7 | 2 | 10.3 | Unp | 0 | 0 | 10 | 0 | -10 | 7.2 |
Adel 8/2 | 1 | 4.3 | Won | $3.40 | $1.50 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 9.2 |
But for the systems as they stand outlay would have been 34 units on
the win/place and 20 on the
place escalator a total outlay of 54 units for a return of 58.5 a overall
profit of 4.5 units.
b / fwd invested 998.2 Profit 719.5 POT
72%
today invested 54
Profit 4.5 POT 8%
c/fwd invested 1052.2 Profit 724
POT 69%
Bets | Wins | S/R % | P.O.T.% | Tot. Divs | Av Div. | |
1 | 36 | 17 | 47.3 | 15.9 | $41.60 | $2.45 |
1V | 26 | 12 | 46.2 | 32.1 | $34.30 | $2.86 |
2 | 73 | 30 | 41.1 | 29.8 | $94.70 | $3.16 |
2V | 38 | 15 | 39.9 | 73.5 | $65.20 | $4.34 |
|
251 | 64 | 25.5 | 11.0 | $279.30 | $4.36 |
3V | 126 | 27 | 21.4 | 49.2 | $188.20 | $6.97 |
Total | 360 | 111 | 30.8 | 15.2 | $415.60 | $3.74 |
Tot. Value | 190 | 54 | 28.4 | 51.5 | $287.70 | $5.33 |
41.7 | 19.9 | $3.00 | ||||
40.0 | 48.7 | $4.04 | ||||
11th July - Saturday
Contenders
Qual Sub | Weight | Class | Price Avail | Bet? | |
Melb 1/2 | f, | 1 | 3 | yes | yes |
Syd 1 | 1/2 | no | |||
Syd 2/1 | f,h,i | 4 | 2 | no | no |
Bris 1/2 | h | 1 | 3 | yes | yes |
Melb 3/1 | f, | 1 | 3 | no | no |
Syd 3 | 2/4 | no | |||
Bris 3/2 | g | 1 | 3 | yes | yes |
Melb 4/3 | i | 1 | 3 | yes | yes |
Bris 4/7 | f | 1 | 3 | yes | yes |
Syd 5/3 | d,e | 3 | 3 | no | no |
Melb 6/3 | b.,c,e, | 5 | 2 | no | no |
Melb 7/8 | g,i | 3 | 3 | yes | yes |
Syd 7/4 | b,i | 3 | 3 | no | no |
Bris 7/12 | g | 1 | 3 | yes | yes |
Melb 8/1 | g | 1 | 3 | yes | yes |
Bris 8/6 | g | 1 | 3 | no | no |
Seln ID | Cat. | Bet. | Result | WinDv | Pl Div | Bet | Return | Prf/Loss | ProgBk |
Melb 1/2 | 3 | 1x1 | 2nd | $0 | $2.80 | 2 | 2.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Bris 1/2 | 3 | 1x1 | Unp | 0 | $0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -1.2 |
Bris 3/2 | 3 | 2win | 2nd | 0 | $1.60 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -3.2 |
Melb 4/3 | 3 | 1x1 | Won | $4.90 | $2.00 | 2 | 6.9 | 4.9 | 1.7 |
Bris 4/7 | 3 | 1x1 | Unp | 0 | $0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -0.3 |
Melb 7/8 | 3 | 1x1 | Unp | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -2.3 |
Bris 7/12 | 3 | 1x1 | Unp | 0 | $0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -4.3 |
Melb 8/1 | 3 | 1x1 | 2nd | 0 | $3.50 | 2 | 3.5 | 1.5 | -2.8 |
Seln ID | Cat. | Bet. | Result | WinDv | Pl Div | Bet | Return | Prf/Loss | ProgBk |
10 | |||||||||
Melb 1/2 | 3 | 6 | 2nd | $0 | $2.80 | 6 | 16.8 | 10.8 | 20.8 |
Bris 1/2 | 3 | 12.48 | Unp | 0 | $0 | 12 | 0 | -12 | 8.8 |
Bris 3/2 | 3 | 5.3 | 2nd | 0 | $1.60 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 11.8 |
Melb 4/3 | 3 | 7.1 | Won | $4.90 | $2.00 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 18.8 |
Bris 4/7 | 3 | 11.3 | Unp | 0 | $0 | 11 | 0 | -11 | 7.8 |
Melb 7/8 | 3 | 4.7 | Unp | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -5 | 2.8 |
Bris 7/12 | 3 | 1.7 | Unp | 0 | $0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0.8 +10 |
Melb 8/1 | 3 | 6.48 | 2nd | 0 | $3.50 | 6 | 21 | 15 | 25.8 |
An outlay of 16 units on the win/place and 20 on the
place escalator a total outlay of 36 units for a return of 39 an overall
profit of just 3 units.
b / fwd invested 1052 Profit 724
POT 69%
today invested 36 Profit
3 POT 8%
c/fwd invested 1088 Profit 727
POT 66%
Bets | Wins | S/R % | P.O.T.% | Tot. Divs | Av Div. | |
1 | 36 | 17 | 47.3 | 15.9 | $41.60 | $2.45 |
1V | 26 | 12 | 46.2 | 32.1 | $34.30 | $2.86 |
2 | 75 | 31 | 41.3 | 28.4 | $96.30 | $3.11 |
2V | 38 | 15 | 39.9 | 73.5 | $65.20 | $4.34 |
|
263 | 66 | 25.3 | 10.8 | $285.60 | $4.28 |
3V | 134 | 28 | 21.4 | 47.6 | $193.10 | $6.89 |
Total | 374 | 114 | 30.5 | 13.5 | $423.50 | $3.72 |
Tot. Value | 198 | 55 | 27.6 | 46.8 | $292.60 | $5.32 |
41.7 | 19.2 | $2.97 | ||||
40.0 | 48.5 | $4.03 | ||||
Contenders
Qual Sub | Weight | Class | Price Avail | Bet? | |
Bris 1 | 1/7 | ||||
Adel 1/2 | g | 1 | 3 | yes | no |
Melb 2/4 | g | 1 | 3 | yes | no |
Syd 2/6 | f | 1 | 3 | yes | yes |
Bris 2/1 | b, | 1 | 3 | no | no |
Adel 2/1 | b,e,i | 4 | 2 | yes | yes |
Syd 3/1 | g | 1 | 3 | no | no |
Bris 3/2 | g | 1 | 3 | yes | yes |
Adel 3/1 | g | 1 | 3 | yes | no |
Melb 4 | 1/2 | ||||
Bris 4 | 4/7 | ||||
Bris 5/5 | c,g, | 2 | 3 | no | no |
Adel 5/3 | i | 1 | 3 | yes | no |
Syd 6/3 | h,i | 2 | 3 | yes | yes |
Bris 6/2 | g,h,i | 3 | 3 | yes | yes |
Melb 7/4 | g | 1 | 3 | yes | yes |
Syd 7/4 | a,b | 4 | 2 | no | no |
Melb 8/1 | b,e,f | 4 | 2 | Yes | Yes |
Seln ID | Cat. | Bet. | Result | WinDv | Pl Div | Bet | Return | Prf/Loss | ProgBk |
Syd 2/6 | 3 | 1x1 | Unp | $0 | $0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -2 |
Adel 2/1 | 2 | 4 Win | Unp | 0 | $0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -4 |
Bris 3/2 | 3 | 2 win | Won | $4.20 | $1.70 | 2 | 8.4 | +6.4 | +2.4 |
Syd 6/3 | 3 | 1x1 | Unp | $0 | $0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | +0.4 |
Bris 6/2 | 3 | 1x1 | Unp | 0 | $0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -1.6 |
Melb 7/4 | 3 | 2 Win | Unp | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -3.6 |
Melb 8/1 | 2 | 4 Win | Unp | 0 | $0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | -7.6 |
Seln ID | Cat. | Bet. | Result | WinDv | Pl Div | Bet | Return | Prf/Loss | ProgBk |
10 | |||||||||
Syd 2/6 | 3 | 6 | Unp | $0 | $0 | 6 | 0 | -6 | 4 |
Adel 2/1 | 2 | 2.4 | Unp | 0 | $0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 2 +10 |
Bris 3/2 | 3 | 7.2 | Won | $4.20 | $1.70 | 7 | 11.9 | +4.9 | 16.9 |
Syd 6/3 | 3 | 9.8 | Unp | $0 | $0 | 10 | 0 | -10 | 6.9 |
Bris 6/2 | 3 | 3.8 | Unp | 0 | $0 | 4 | 0 | -4 | 2.9 |
Melb 7/4 | 3 | 1.8 | Unp | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | 0.9 |
Melb 8/1 | 2 | 0.9 | Unp | 0 | $0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.1 =-20.1 |
A miserable day only one win short of a total disaster.
An outlay of 18 units on the win/place and 20.1 on the
place escalator a total outlay of 38.1 units for a return of 8.4 an
overall loss of 29.7 units.
b / fwd invested 1088 Profit 727
POT 66%
today invested 38 Loss
30 LOT 78%
c/fwd invested 1126 Profit 697
POT 62%
Bets | Wins | S/R % | P.O.T.% | Tot. Divs | Av Div. | |
1 | 36 | 17 | 47.3 | 15.9 | $41.60 | $2.45 |
1V | 26 | 12 | 46.2 | 32.1 | $34.30 | $2.86 |
2 | 78 | 31 | 39.7 | 23.4 | $96.30 | $3.11 |
2V | 40 | 15 | 37.5 | 62.8 | $65.20 | $4.34 |
|
270 | 69 | 25.6 | 6.5 | $294.60 | $4.27 |
3V | 139 | 29 | 20.7 | 40.8 | $197.30 | $6.80 |
Total | 384 | 117 | 29.8 | 16.3 | $432.50 | $3.70 |
Tot. Value | 205 | 56 | 27.3 | 41.7 | $296.80 | $5.30 |
41.2 | 22.4 | $2.97 | ||||
39.2 | 57.2 | $4.01 | ||||
Contenders
Qual Sub | Weight | Class | Price Avail | Bet? | |
Adel 1/1 | d,g | 2 | 3 | no | no |
Melb 2/1 | a,b,c,e,f | 6 | 1 | yes | yes |
Bris 2/2 | d,e | 2 | 3 | yes | yes |
Melb 3/3 | g | 2 | 3 | yes | yes |
Bris 4/5 | g, | 2 | 3 | yes | yes |
Adel 4/5 | d,g | 3 | 3 | yes | yes |
Bris 6/5 | f,i | 2 | 3 | yes | yes |
Bris 7 | 5/9 | ||||
Bris 8/3 | e,f | 2 | 3 | no | no |
Seln ID | Cat. | Bet. | Result | WinDv | Pl Div | Bet | Return | Prf/Loss | ProgBk |
Melb 2/1 | 1 | 6 Win | 2nd | $0 | $1.80 | 6 | 0 | -6 | -6 |
Bris 2/2 | 3 | 2 Win | Won | $5.20 | $1.90 | 2 | 10.4 | +8.4 | +2.4 |
Melb 3/3 | 3 | 1x1 | 3rd | $0 | $1.80 | 2 | 1.8 | -0.2 | +2.2 |
Bris 4/5 | 3 | 1x1 | Unp | $0 | $0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | +0.2 |
Adel 4/5 | 3 | 2 Win | Won | $3.70 | $1.40 | 2 | 7.4 | +5.4 | +5.6 |
Bris 6/5 | 3 | 1x1 | Won | $9.80 | $3.30 | 2 | 13.1 | +11.1 | +16.7 |
Seln ID | Cat. | Bet. | Result | WinDv | Pl Div | Bet | Return | Prf/Loss | ProgBk |
10 | |||||||||
Melb 2/1 | 1 | 6 | 2nd | $0 | $1.80 | 6 | 10.8 | +4.8 | 14.8 |
Bris 2/2 | 3 | 8.6 | Won | $5.20 | $1.90 | 9 | 17.1 | +8.1 | 22.9 |
Melb 3/3 | 3 | 13.8 | 3rd | $0 | $1.80 | 14 | 25.2 | +11.2 | 34.1 |
Bris 4/5 | 3 | 20.4 | Unp | $0 | $0 | 20 | 0 | -20 | 14.1 |
Adel 4/5 | 3 | 8.4 | Won | $3.70 | $1.40 | 8 | 11.2 | +3.2 | 17.3 |
Bris 6/5 | 3 | 10.4 | Won | $9.80 | $3.30 | 10 | 33 | +23 | 40.3 |
As often happens a miserable day is followd by a great day. Three winners
from 6 final bets and both selections eliminated by Price Not Available
also won, making the "gross" 5 from 8. However as the "Grey" Table
continues
to illustrate value betting is better in the long run, the table shows
a POT of 52.8% for value betting compared to
20.7% for the "Gross" selections.
This 52.8% is a "weighted" average of Category 1 of 25.8%, Category
2 of 62.8% and Category 3 of 50%
whilst the mathematical average of these three is 46% the weighted
average represents the proportion of
6 unit bets on cat. 1 4 unit bets on cat 2 and 2 unit bets on cat 3.
An outlay of 16 units on the win/place and 10 on the
place escalator a total outlay of 26 units for a return of 73 units
an overall profit of 47 units.
b / fwd invested 1126 Profit 697
POT 62%
today invested 26 Profit
47 POT 180%
c/fwd invested 1152 Profit 744
POT 65%
Bets | Wins | S/R % | P.O.T.% | Tot. Divs | Av Div. | |
1 | 37 | 17 | 45.9 | 12.4 | $41.60 | $2.45 |
1V | 27 | 12 | 44.0 | 25.8 | $34.30 | $2.86 |
2 | 78 | 31 | 39.7 | 23.4 | $96.30 | $3.11 |
2V | 40 | 15 | 37.5 | 62.8 | $65.20 | $4.34 |
|
277 | 74 | 26.4 | 13.8 | $318.90 | $4.31 |
3V | 144 | 32 | 22.2 | 50.0 | $216.00 | $6.75 |
Total | 392 | 122 | 30.6 | 14.7 | $456.80 | $3.75 |
Tot. Value | 211 | 59 | 27.8 | 48.7 | $315.50 | $5.35 |
40.5 | 20.7 | $2.98 | ||||
38.2 | 52.8 | $4.00 | ||||
and Profitable Punting.
Contender
Copyright © 1996
Last modified:1/2/99